\u00a0\u201cTo identify the economic stars of the future we should abandon the habit of extrapolating from the recent past and lumping wildly diverse countries together. We need to remember that sustained economic success is a rare phenomenon\u201d<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\nThinking about these statements we have presented three possibilities for \u201cAfrica\u2019s giant\u201d: a tiger nation, a banana republic or the worst of all, a cassava republic (failed state). Will Nigeria have a good comeback story, tagged as an economic miracle like the Asian Tigers (South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan & Hong Kong) or will we take minuscule strides to maintaining our emerging market title like the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China & South Africa) or will we fall to the bottom of the pyramid, becoming a pariah state notorious for narcotics, political instability and insurgency like Afghanistan and Iraq?<\/p>\n
After decades of drifting, the giant is still struggling<\/strong><\/p>\nNigeria is the largest economy in Africa (2023: 221million people), with a nominal GDP of $500 billion, and there are huge growth and development prospects for the country. However, years of sub-optimal economic performance and missed opportunities to press the reset button have come to haunt the African Giant.<\/p>\n
From the pepper seller at Jalingo market to the security guard at the Wema Bank branch and the CEOs of top companies, everyone is pessimistic, yet curious about the future of Nigeria.<\/p>\n
Bearer of bad news is typically beheaded<\/strong><\/p>\nBack in the day, the bearer of bad news to kings was typically beheaded. That notwithstanding, using the lens of the last eight years and the unfortunate events at the presidential elections, the outlook for Nigeria looks tough. But as they say \u201cwhen the going gets tough, the tough gets going\u201d<\/em><\/p>\nThe outcome for Nigeria (Tiger, Banana or Cassava) heavily depends on the ability of the incoming administration to take audacious steps towards institutionalising the much needed reforms. The next set of policy makers have their work cut out for them and the first step is signalling with the aim of boosting investor and business confidence. The Nigerian government is too cash-strapped to revive the economy alone. Nigeria needs all the help it can get.<\/p>\n
But it\u2019s better to be frank (candid) than false (fake)<\/strong><\/p>\nFrom our little crystal ball, our verdict is that Nigeria will have to either adapt or perish in the coming days. In other words, It\u2019s crunch time for Nigeria (make or break).<\/p>\n
The FT concluded its piece on Nigeria today (May 10, 2023) saying that \u201cchanging faces and rotating political positions is not enough. Nigeria needs systemic reforms that only its intellectuals and policymakers can drive\u201d.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\nIn this edition of the LBS Breakfast session broken down into part A and B, Bismarck Rewane and the FDC Think Tank attempt to unpack Nigeria\u2019s future using the events of today. We also provide the implications of each scenario on your business, wallets, and wider economic performance.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s an interesting read.<\/p>\n
Enjoy![\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
[vc_row][vc_column][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Dear Subscriber, What is Nigeria\u2019s economic destination under the new dispensation? Ruchir Sharma, in his book \u201cBreakout Nations: In pursuit…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120840"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120840"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120840\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120841,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120840\/revisions\/120841"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120840"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120840"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120840"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}