{"id":25729,"date":"2017-01-18T06:44:02","date_gmt":"2017-01-18T06:44:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fdcng.com\/?p=25729"},"modified":"2017-01-18T06:44:02","modified_gmt":"2017-01-18T06:44:02","slug":"fdc-economic-bulletin-january-17-2017-inflation-dynamics-leave-market-analysts-puzzled","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/fdc-economic-bulletin-january-17-2017-inflation-dynamics-leave-market-analysts-puzzled\/","title":{"rendered":"FDC Economic Bulletin – January 17, 2017 “Inflation dynamics leave market analysts puzzled”"},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Headline inflation hit a new 11-year record with a rate of 18.55% YoY. This confounded many market analysts that earlier forecast a decline in the headline rate to make December the point of inflection of the indicator in 14 months.<\/p>\n

A further decomposition of the inflation dynamics suggests that a moderation of inflationary pressures is not farfetched. This is because of disappearing base year effects, a reduction in core inflation (18.1% from 18.2% in November) and a declining trend in 2016.<\/p>\n

With these observations, we expect a change in inflation dynamics in Q1\u201917 as we observe that prices of perishable and inelastic goods, such as rice and beans, are declining.<\/p>\n

In the attached bulletin, the FDC Think-Tank analyses price movements in December.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column]

DOWNLOAD PDF<\/a><\/div> [\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Headline inflation hit a new 11-year record with a rate of 18.55% YoY. This confounded many market analysts that earlier…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25729"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25729"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25729\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25730,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25729\/revisions\/25730"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdcng.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}