FDC ECONOMIC MONTHLY PUBLICATION – MARCH 03, 2023

Dear Subscriber,

Highly contested election ends up with a victor and political baggage

An interesting and keenly contested election with the longest campaign period in the short history of Nigeria’s plural democracy came to an end at 4am on Wednesday. Bola Tinubu was declared winner having won 8.9million votes out of 24.96million votes cast. The election was marred by violence, thuggery and ballot box snatching. It is the election with the lowest voter turnout (26.07%) since the return to civil rule in 1999. It points to the fact that, in all previous elections, voter turnout numbers were grossly exaggerated.

False data and the crying wolf

Data integrity in Nigeria has always been a major source of controversy, not just in elections, but also in terms of census, inflation and even the level of external reserves. Therefore, as technology continues to improve, the Big Lie of false data is beginning to catch up with Nigeria.

Crucial week ahead

In the next week, as the country prepares for the governorship and state assembly polls, the political atmosphere is pregnant with expectations of the future and frustrations of the past. The economy is still reeling from the mismanagement of policy and the series of missed opportunities to put it on the path of economic take off. The macroeconomic implications of the political uncertainty arising from electoral malpractices and the near insanity of the cash squeeze are likely to push most Nigerians to the edge. The Supreme Court has just ruled that the legal tender status of the old Naira notes is now extended to December 31, 2023. However, the Naira as a medium of exchange and a store of value remains enigmatic.

The spectre of June 12 haunts Nigeria

There is an eery similarity between the atmosphere in 2023 and that of June 12, 1993, which led to the near collapse of the nation with significant human and material sacrifices. Therefore, it is hoped that the fall out of this election drama will be different from that of June 12, since they say that lightning does not strike the same place twice.

In the download link below, the FDC think tank spotlights the priorities of the Nigeria’s new president-elect and other key policy issues that will affect your business and consumption patterns in the near term.

Do enjoy your read!